We don't want to rely solely on stats, trends, and rankings so we worked out the math to implement a model to predict NFL outcomes against the spread. We call our innovative math model TREND-SEARCH™ and it's based on the best set of trends from a superset of over 1 million data points defined in our proprietary database. The math model is applied to each weekly NFL matchup to find the team that matches the selected trends. Each trend used in our model is updated weekly because the past data that indicates future winners' changes that quickly in the NFL. The TREND-SEARCH math model is 100% objective and quantitative; it incorporates no subjective opinions or assumptions about teams, players, or matchups. Associated with every NFL pick is a mathematical confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. We always post all the predictions our model made to provide full transparency.
Projected Team Is | Correct | Wrong | Push | Pct |
---|---|---|---|---|
Favorite ATS | 21 | 27 | 4 | .442 |
Underdog ATS | 38 | 38 | 3 | .500 |
Even ATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Home ATS | 9 | 11 | 0 | .450 |
Home Dog ATS | 2 | 5 | 0 | .286 |
Overall | 61 | 65 | 7 | .485 |
Projected Team Rated As | Correct | Wrong | Push | Pct |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
29 | 31 | 6 | .485 |
![]() ![]() |
27 | 23 | 1 | .539 |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
5 | 8 | 0 | .385 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
0 | 3 | 0 | .000 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Date | Week | Day | Visitor | Home | H Line | Projected | Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09/05/24 | 1 | Thu Night | ![]() |
![]() |
-3 | Ravens | 1 |
09/06/24 | 1 | Fri Night | ![]() |
![]() |
-1.5 | Packers | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
1.5 | Texans | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-9 | Patriots | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-5 | Panthers | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-3.5 | Jaguars | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-7.5 | Cardinals | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-2.5 | Steelers | 2 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-1 | Vikings | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
![]() |
-4.5 | Bears | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
![]() |
-4.5 | Broncos | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
![]() |
-3 | Chargers | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
![]() |
-3.5 | Commanders | 1 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
![]() |
-1 | Cowboys | 2 |
09/08/24 | 1 | Sun Night | ![]() |
![]() |
-3.5 | Rams | 1 |
09/09/24 | 1 | Mon Night | ![]() |
![]() |
-5.5 | 49ers | 2 |
Date | Week | Day | Visitor | Score | Home | Score | Line | Projected | Actual | Rating | Result | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/07/16 | 9 | Mon Night | ![]() |
25 | ![]() |
31 | -7 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Night | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
30 | -1 | Broncos | Raiders | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | ![]() |
41 | ![]() |
23 | 5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | ![]() |
35 | ![]() |
43 | -3.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | ![]() |
31 | ![]() |
26 | -7 | Colts | Colts | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
10 | 3 | Panthers | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
35 | ![]() |
10 | 7.5 | Cowboys | Cowboys | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
21 | 3 | Steelers | Ravens | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
28 | -3 | Eagles | Giants | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
27 | -3.5 | Jets | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
19 | -7.5 | Jaguars | Jaguars | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | ![]() |
22 | ![]() |
16 | -5.5 | Lions | Lions | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
11/03/16 | 9 | Thu Night | ![]() |
43 | ![]() |
28 | 4.5 | Falcons | Falcons | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/31/16 | 8 | Mon Night | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
20 | 5 | Vikings | Bears | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Night | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
29 | -5.5 | Eagles | Cowboys | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Late | ![]() |
32 | ![]() |
33 | -3 | Packers | Packers | 3 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Late | ![]() |
19 | ![]() |
27 | -3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
27 | -3 | Commanders | Commanders | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
20 | -1.5 | Texans | Texans | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
25 | 1.5 | Seahawks | Saints | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
41 | ![]() |
25 | 6 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
31 | ![]() |
28 | 2.5 | Browns | Jets | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
30 | ![]() |
24 | Even | Raiders | Raiders | 3 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
30 | ![]() |
14 | 3 | Chiefs | Chiefs | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
30 | -2.5 | Cardinals | Panthers | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/27/16 | 8 | Thu Night | ![]() |
22 | ![]() |
36 | -3.5 | Jaguars | Titans | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/24/16 | 7 | Mon Night | ![]() |
9 | ![]() |
27 | -9 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Night | ![]() |
6 | ![]() |
6 | -1.5 | Cardinals | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | ![]() |
33 | ![]() |
30 | -4.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | ![]() |
34 | ![]() |
17 | -1 | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
16 | 7 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
10 | 3 | Giants | Giants | 3 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
21 | 3 | Vikings | Eagles | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
21 | ![]() |
27 | -6.5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
20 | 1 | Commanders | Lions | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
31 | -11 | Browns | Bengals | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
25 | ![]() |
28 | 2.5 | Bills | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
33 | ![]() |
16 | -2 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
34 | ![]() |
26 | -4 | Colts | Colts | 3 | Correct |
![]() |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
24 | -2 | Ravens | Jets | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/20/16 | 7 | Thu Night | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
26 | -9 | Bears | Packers | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/17/16 | 6 | Mon Night | ![]() |
3 | ![]() |
28 | -7 | Jets | Cardinals | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Night | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
26 | -3 | Colts | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | ![]() |
26 | ![]() |
10 | 1.5 | Chiefs | Chiefs | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | ![]() |
24 | ![]() |
26 | -6.5 | Seahawks | Falcons | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | ![]() |
30 | ![]() |
16 | -5.5 | Packers | Cowboys | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
35 | -7.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
27 | -3.5 | Ravens | Giants | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
15 | ![]() |
30 | 7.5 | Steelers | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
38 | ![]() |
41 | 2.5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
16 | -2.5 | Bears | Jaguars | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
45 | -7.5 | 49ers | Bills | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
28 | ![]() |
31 | -2.5 | Rams | Lions | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
26 | ![]() |
28 | -7.5 | Browns | Browns | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
27 | 3 | Eagles | Commanders | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/13/16 | 6 | Thu Night | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
21 | 3 | Broncos | Chargers | 4 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/10/16 | 5 | Mon Night | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
14 | -6 | Panthers | Buccaneers | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Night | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
23 | -7 | Giants | 2 | Push |
![]() |
|
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | ![]() |
31 | ![]() |
34 | -3.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
16 | -3.5 | Broncos | Falcons | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | ![]() |
30 | ![]() |
19 | 2.5 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
28 | 2.5 | Bengals | Cowboys | 4 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
31 | -6 | Texans | Vikings | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
30 | ![]() |
17 | -3 | Titans | Titans | 3 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
33 | ![]() |
13 | 10.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
31 | -9 | Steelers | Steelers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
10 | -4 | Commanders | Commanders | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
24 | 3.5 | Eagles | Lions | 4 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
29 | -4.5 | Bears | Colts | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/06/16 | 5 | Thu Night | ![]() |
33 | ![]() |
21 | 4 | 49ers | Cardinals | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/03/16 | 4 | Mon Night | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
24 | -4 | Vikings | Vikings | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Night | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
43 | -3.5 | Chiefs | Steelers | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
7 | 3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | ![]() |
24 | ![]() |
17 | 1.5 | 49ers | Cowboys | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | ![]() |
35 | ![]() |
34 | -4 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
13 | -9.5 | Rams | Rams | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
30 | 2 | Colts | Jaguars | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
31 | -7.5 | Browns | Commanders | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
0 | -5 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
17 | 1 | Jets | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
33 | ![]() |
48 | 3 | Panthers | Falcons | 3 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
17 | 3 | Lions | Bears | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
27 | -4 | Titans | Texans | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | ![]() |
28 | ![]() |
27 | -3.5 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/29/16 | 4 | Thu Night | ![]() |
7 | ![]() |
22 | -7.5 | Dolphins | Bengals | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/26/16 | 3 | Mon Night | ![]() |
45 | ![]() |
32 | -3 | Falcons | Falcons | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Night | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
31 | -4.5 | Bears | Cowboys | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | ![]() |
18 | ![]() |
37 | -10 | 49ers | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | ![]() |
37 | ![]() |
32 | -3.5 | Rams | Rams | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | ![]() |
3 | ![]() |
34 | 4 | Steelers | Eagles | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | ![]() |
3 | ![]() |
24 | -3 | Jets | Chiefs | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | ![]() |
22 | ![]() |
26 | -1.5 | Chargers | Colts | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
29 | ![]() |
17 | -3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
17 | ![]() |
10 | 1.5 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
18 | ![]() |
33 | 5 | Cardinals | Bills | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
24 | ![]() |
30 | -10 | Browns | Browns | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
29 | ![]() |
27 | -3.5 | Commanders | Commanders | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
22 | ![]() |
10 | -6.5 | Vikings | Vikings | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
19 | ![]() |
17 | 2 | Ravens | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
34 | -7 | Lions | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
09/22/16 | 3 | Thu Night | ![]() |
0 | ![]() |
27 | 2.5 | Texans | Patriots | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/19/16 | 2 | Mon Night | ![]() |
29 | ![]() |
14 | -3 | Eagles | Eagles | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Night | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
17 | 2 | Packers | Vikings | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | ![]() |
7 | ![]() |
40 | -7 | Buccaneers | Cardinals | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | ![]() |
3 | ![]() |
9 | 5.5 | Seahawks | Rams | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
34 | -6 | Colts | Broncos | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | ![]() |
35 | ![]() |
28 | -4 | Falcons | Falcons | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
38 | -3 | Jaguars | Chargers | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
15 | -6 | Titans | Titans | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
12 | ![]() |
19 | -1 | Chiefs | Texans | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
24 | ![]() |
31 | -5.5 | Dolphins | Patriots | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
25 | ![]() |
20 | 4.5 | Ravens | Ravens | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
16 | ![]() |
24 | -3 | Bengals | Steelers | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
23 | -3 | Cowboys | Cowboys | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
13 | ![]() |
16 | -3.5 | Saints | Saints | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
46 | -12.5 | 49ers | Panthers | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/15/16 | 2 | Thu Night | ![]() |
37 | ![]() |
31 | Even | Jets | Jets | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/12/16 | 1 | Mon Night | ![]() |
38 | ![]() |
16 | 2 | Steelers | Steelers | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/12/16 | 1 | Mon Night | ![]() |
0 | ![]() |
28 | 3 | Rams | 49ers | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Night | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
21 | -8.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
39 | ![]() |
35 | -3 | Lions | Lions | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
12 | -10.5 | Dolphins | Dolphins | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
19 | 1 | Giants | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
23 | ![]() |
22 | 1 | Bengals | 1 | Push |
![]() |
|
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
23 | 4.5 | Jaguars | Jaguars | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
25 | ![]() |
16 | 2.5 | Titans | Vikings | 2 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
27 | ![]() |
33 | -6.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
35 | ![]() |
34 | -3 | Raiders | Raiders | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
7 | ![]() |
13 | -3 | Bills | Ravens | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
14 | ![]() |
23 | -5.5 | Bears | Texans | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
10 | ![]() |
29 | -3.5 | Browns | Eagles | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | ![]() |
31 | ![]() |
24 | -2.5 | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | 2 | Correct |
![]() |
09/08/16 | 1 | Thu Night | ![]() |
20 | ![]() |
21 | 3 | Panthers | Broncos | 1 | Wrong |
![]() |