Dynamic playoff seeding probability calculated via multi-variable tiebreaker formulas
| Team | W | L | T | Pct | PF | PA | Net | PPG | SOS | SOV | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Giants
|
4 | 2 | 1 | .643 | 163 | 161 | +2 | 23.29 | .302 | .286 | |
Cowboys
|
3 | 4 | 0 | .429 | 189 | 180 | +9 | 27 | .429 | .275 | ||
Eagles
|
2 | 5 | 0 | .286 | 127 | 175 | -48 | 18.14 | .436 | .192 | ||
Commanders
|
1 | 4 | 1 | .250 | 132 | 172 | -40 | 22 | .512 | .571 |
| Team | W | L | T | Pct | PF | PA | Net | PPG | SOS | SOV | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Panthers
|
3 | 4 | 0 | .429 | 178 | 193 | -15 | 25.43 | .531 | .450 | |
Falcons
|
3 | 4 | 0 | .429 | 171 | 173 | -2 | 24.43 | .600 | .591 | ||
Buccaneers
|
2 | 5 | 0 | .286 | 162 | 151 | +11 | 23.14 | .646 | .429 | ||
Saints
|
2 | 5 | 0 | .286 | 162 | 194 | -32 | 23.14 | .628 | .607 |
79 of 184 | 2002–2024 | 1.7x the 25% baseline
38.7% (65 of 168) excluding the Patriots' 14 of 16.
Median season: 37.5% — half of the 23 seasons since 2002 were at or below this rate.
8 division titles were won in 2025. Whether they are defended is decided by the 2026 season.
| Team | Titles | Defended | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
Patriots
|
17 | 14 | 87.5% |
Bills
|
5 | 4 | 80.0% |
Chiefs
|
11 | 8 | 72.7% |
Colts
|
9 | 6 | 66.7% |
Broncos
|
7 | 4 | 66.7% |
Chargers
|
5 | 3 | 60.0% |
Packers
|
12 | 7 | 58.3% |
Texans
|
8 | 4 | 50.0% |
Lions
|
2 | 1 | 50.0% |
Seahawks
|
10 | 4 | 44.4% |
Buccaneers
|
7 | 3 | 42.9% |
Saints
|
7 | 3 | 42.9% |
Panthers
|
6 | 2 | 40.0% |
Ravens
|
8 | 3 | 37.5% |
49ers
|
6 | 2 | 33.3% |
Cardinals
|
3 | 1 | 33.3% |
Eagles
|
11 | 3 | 30.0% |
Bears
|
5 | 1 | 25.0% |
Titans
|
4 | 1 | 25.0% |
Steelers
|
10 | 2 | 22.2% |
Rams
|
5 | 1 | 20.0% |
Vikings
|
5 | 1 | 20.0% |
Bengals
|
6 | 1 | 16.7% |
Cowboys
|
7 | 0 | 0.0% |
Falcons
|
4 | 0 | 0.0% |
Commanders
|
3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Giants
|
3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Jaguars
|
3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Dolphins
|
1 | 0 | 0.0% |
Jets
|
1 | 0 | 0.0% |
Raiders
|
1 | 0 | 0.0% |
Browns
|
0 | 0 | — |