This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2004 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

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All Games Regular Season Postseason  Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night All Primetime
League  | Monday Night | 2004
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 5 0 3 .600 5.4 2 .400 -5.4
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -8 1 1.000 8
-3 to -4 4 0 2 .500 -4.8 2 .500 4.8
0 to -2.5 2 0 0 .000 -8.5 2 1.000 8.5
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -5 1 1.000 5
6 to 7 1 0 0 .000 -21 1 1.000 21
7.5 to 9.5 2 0 2 1.000 15.5 0 .000 -15.5
Overall 16 0 7 .438 -0.8 9 .563 0.8
Division  | Monday Night | 2004
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 1 0 1 1.000 20 0 .000 -20
0 to -2.5 1 0 0 .000 -4.5 1 1.000 4.5
6 to 7 1 0 0 .000 -21 1 1.000 21
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 10.5 0 .000 -10.5
Overall 4 0 2 .500 1.3 2 .500 -1.3
Conference  | Monday Night | 2004
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 3 0 2 .667 3.7 1 .333 -3.7
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -8 1 1.000 8
-3 to -4 3 0 2 .667 1.7 1 .333 -1.7
0 to -2.5 1 0 0 .000 -12.5 1 1.000 12.5
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -5 1 1.000 5
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 20.5 0 .000 -20.5
Overall 10 0 5 .500 1.1 5 .500 -1.1
Inter-Conference  | Monday Night | 2004
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -4 1 1.000 4
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -24 1 1.000 24
Overall 2 0 0 .000 -14 2 1.000 14
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