This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2024 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

League  | Postseason | 2024
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 4 0 3 .750 -0.5 1 .250 0.5
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -1 1 1.000 1
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 2 1.000 16.5 0 .000 -16.5
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -6 1 1.000 6
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 2 0 .000 -2
0 to 2.5 2 0 2 1.000 11.5 0 .000 -11.5
3 to 4 2 0 2 1.000 21.8 0 .000 -21.8
Overall 13 0 10 .769 7.1 3 .231 -7.1
Division  | Postseason | 2024
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 1 1.000 4.5 0 .000 -4.5
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 26.5 0 .000 -26.5
Overall 2 0 2 1.000 15.5 0 .000 -15.5
Conference  | Postseason | 2024
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 3 0 2 .667 -2.2 1 .333 2.2
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -1 1 1.000 1
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 6.5 0 .000 -6.5
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -6 1 1.000 6
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 2 0 .000 -2
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 3.5 0 .000 -3.5
3 to 4 2 0 2 1.000 21.8 0 .000 -21.8
Overall 10 0 7 .700 4.2 3 .300 -4.2
Inter-Conference  | Postseason | 2024
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 19.5 0 .000 -19.5
Overall 1 0 1 1.000 19.5 0 .000 -19.5
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