This is the Point Spread trends page for the 3-Year season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2025 Season 2024 Season  3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night  Sunday Night Thursday Night All Primetime
League  | Sunday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
-7.5 to -9.5 3 0 1 .333 -4.5 2 .667 4.5
-6 to -7 4 1 3 .875 10.1 0 .125 -10.1
-4.5 to -5.5 4 0 2 .500 -3.8 2 .500 3.8
-3 to -4 13 0 7 .538 1.8 6 .462 -1.8
0 to -2.5 8 0 6 .750 7.6 2 .250 -7.6
0 to 2.5 5 0 3 .600 -1.7 2 .400 1.7
3 to 4 14 1 3 .250 -6.4 10 .750 6.4
6 to 7 4 0 3 .750 4.6 1 .250 -4.6
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 5 0 .000 -5
Overall 57 2 29 .526 0.2 26 .474 -0.2
Division  | Sunday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -3 1 1.000 3
-3 to -4 1 0 1 1.000 16.5 0 .000 -16.5
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 19.5 0 .000 -19.5
0 to 2.5 2 0 0 .000 -13.8 2 1.000 13.8
3 to 4 3 0 1 .333 -11.8 2 .667 11.8
Overall 9 0 3 .333 -4.5 6 .667 4.5
Conference  | Sunday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
-6 to -7 1 0 1 1.000 20 0 .000 -20
-4.5 to -5.5 3 0 2 .667 -4 1 .333 4
-3 to -4 11 0 5 .455 -0.4 6 .545 0.4
0 to -2.5 4 0 4 1.000 9.4 0 .000 -9.4
0 to 2.5 3 0 3 1.000 6.3 0 .000 -6.3
3 to 4 7 0 2 .286 -5.5 5 .714 5.5
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 6.5 0 .000 -6.5
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 5 0 .000 -5
Overall 32 0 19 .594 0.7 13 .406 -0.7
Inter-Conference  | Sunday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 1 1.000 7.5 0 .000 -7.5
-6 to -7 3 1 2 .833 6.8 0 .167 -6.8
-3 to -4 1 0 1 1.000 11 0 .000 -11
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 1.2 2 .667 -1.2
3 to 4 4 1 0 .125 -4 3 .875 4
6 to 7 3 0 2 .667 4 1 .333 -4
Overall 16 2 7 .500 1.8 7 .500 -1.8
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