This is the Point Spread trends page for the 3-Year season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2025 Season 2024 Season  3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night  Thursday Night All Primetime
League  | Thursday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 4 1 2 .625 1.5 1 .375 -1.5
-7.5 to -9.5 6 0 1 .167 -5.3 5 .833 5.3
-6 to -7 5 0 1 .200 -5.4 4 .800 5.4
-4.5 to -5.5 3 0 0 .000 -6.7 3 1.000 6.7
-3 to -4 13 1 10 .808 7.8 2 .192 -7.8
0 to -2.5 6 0 3 .500 -3.2 3 .500 3.2
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -1 1 1.000 1
3 to 4 5 0 2 .400 -3.8 3 .600 3.8
4.5 to 5.5 4 0 3 .750 4.3 1 .250 -4.3
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 6.5 1 .500 -6.5
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14 1 1.000 14
10+ 1 0 1 1.000 6.5 0 .000 -6.5
Overall 51 2 24 .490 0.2 25 .510 -0.2
Division  | Thursday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 1 1 .500 -0.5 1 .500 0.5
-7.5 to -9.5 3 0 0 .000 -11.8 3 1.000 11.8
-6 to -7 3 0 1 .333 -0.2 2 .667 0.2
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -6.5 1 1.000 6.5
-3 to -4 5 0 3 .600 8.7 2 .400 -8.7
0 to -2.5 4 0 2 .500 -4 2 .500 4
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -1 1 1.000 1
3 to 4 3 0 1 .333 -3.8 2 .667 3.8
4.5 to 5.5 2 0 1 .500 3.3 1 .500 -3.3
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 6.5 1 .500 -6.5
10+ 1 0 1 1.000 6.5 0 .000 -6.5
Overall 28 1 11 .411 -0.1 16 .589 0.1
Conference  | Thursday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 1 1.000 7.5 0 .000 -7.5
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 1 .500 3 1 .500 -3
-6 to -7 2 0 0 .000 -13.3 2 1.000 13.3
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -8 1 1.000 8
-3 to -4 6 1 5 .917 4.3 0 .083 -4.3
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 6 0 .000 -6
3 to 4 1 0 1 1.000 12.5 0 .000 -12.5
4.5 to 5.5 2 0 2 1.000 5.3 0 .000 -5.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14 1 1.000 14
Overall 17 1 11 .676 1.1 5 .324 -1.1
Inter-Conference  | Thursday Night | 3-Year
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -2.5 1 1.000 2.5
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -5.5 1 1.000 5.5
-3 to -4 2 0 2 1.000 16.5 0 .000 -16.5
0 to -2.5 1 0 0 .000 -9 1 1.000 9
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -20 1 1.000 20
Overall 6 0 2 .333 -0.7 4 .667 0.7
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