Team Breakdowns

Analyze a team's operational runway through multi-year segmented performance indexes

Seahawks

Seahawks

3-Year | All Games
40-21 Straight Up
30-25 Against Spread
30-31 Over/Under
24.4 Avg Points
20.2 Avg Allowed
Team Profile

The Seahawks' Best Season Against the Spread Came Right After One of Their Worst

Twenty-four seasons of Seattle results against the spread. The long-run number is 52.0%, the season-to-season number is chaos, and the division split everyone quotes carries nothing at all.

Read the article

Against Bears

ATS
0-1 (0%)
ATS at Home
0-0 (0%)
Overs
0-1 (0%)
Overs at Home
0-0 (0%)
SU
1-0 (100%)
SU at Home
0-0 (0%)

Matchup Engine

Seahawks Seahawks
2026 Statistical Comparison
Bears Bears

Implied Totals

24.8
Projected Points
53%
Favored
Market Implied Total
Game Total: 46.6
21.8
Projected Points
47%
Underdog

Pass Mismatch Edge

7.03
Adjusted YPA
+0.83
Passing Surplus
Matchup-Adjusted YPA
League Baseline: 6.20 Adjusted YPA
5.39
Adjusted YPA
-0.81
Secondary Restraint

Rush Mismatch Edge

4.15
Adjusted YPC
-0.03
Line Symmetrical Baseline
Matchup-Adjusted YPC
League Baseline: 4.18 YPC
3.93
Adjusted YPC
-0.25
Trench Bottleneck

Pass Velocity + Value

Net Eff
+2.245
Rank: 1
Net EPA
+0.194
Rank: 5
True Alpha
Team Offense − Defense
EPA Baseline: 0.0
Net Eff
-1.033
Rank: 24
Net EPA
+0.088
Rank: 10
Developing

Rush Velocity + Value

Net Eff
+0.386
Rank: 12
Net EPA
-0.042
Rank: 20
Developing
Team Offense − Defense
EPA Baseline: 0.0
Net Eff
-0.052
Rank: 16
Net EPA
-0.017
Rank: 16
Developing

Heads Up Results

W L Over Under
Date Day Type Opponent Score SU Line ATS Mar Tot OU Mar Surf
12/26/24 TNF REG Bears @ 6-3 W -4.5 Fail -1.5 41.5 Under 32.5 Grass

Essential Coverage Records

Home Games
11-16 (41.9%)
Away Games
19-9 (66.7%)
As Favorite
18-15 (53.8%)
As Underdog
12-10 (54.5%)
Division Games
12-9 (56.8%)
Conference Games
11-8 (57.9%)
After Big Win
6-5 (54.5%)
After Big Loss
2-3 (40%)

Coverage Profile

Covers (30)
Fails (25)

Monthly Trends

Month Games ATS As Fav As Dog Home Away Over %
September 14 57.1% 60.0% 50.0% 50.0% 64.3% 57.1%
October 15 43.3% 50.0% 25.0% 35.0% 60.0% 46.7%
November 13 61.5% 60.0% 62.5% 50.0% 71.4% 46.2%
December 13 50.0% 35.7% 66.7% 16.7% 78.6% 46.2%
January 5 60.0% 60.0% -- 100.0% 33.3% 60.0%

Weather Impact on Covers

Hot --
Cold --
Rain 1-3
Snow --
Wind 0-2
Dome 7-3

Aggregate Distribution

Season O/U Record 30-31 (49.2%)
Home O/U 18-13 (58.1%)
Division Games O/U 9-13 (40.9%)
Avg Total Set 44.2
Avg Combined Score 44.6
Avg Implied Total 22.9
Avg Points Scored 24.4

Weather Impact on Overs

Hot --
Cold --
Rain 2-2
Snow --
Wind 1-1
Dome 5-5

Implied Total vs Actual

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Implied Total
Opponent Implied Total

Schedule Dynamics

Short Week Less than 7 days rest
2-6 ATS (27.8%)
After Bye Week Performance with extra rest
2-1 ATS (66.7%)
Monday Night Football Record in the Prime Time classic
3-1 ATS (75.0%)
Prime Time Games All Night Games (7 PM ET or later)
9-7 ATS (55.9%)
Time Zone Impact Teams crossing 3 time zones
10-4 ATS (70.0%)
Postseason Playoff record
3-0 ATS (100.0%)

Location

Road Favorite ATS as away favorite
9-6 ATS (58.8%)
Road Dog ATS as away underdog
10-3 ATS (76.9%)
Home Favorite ATS as home favorite
9-9 ATS (50.0%)
Home Dog ATS as home underdog
2-7 ATS (22.2%)
Road Grass ATS on grass as visitor
11-6 ATS (63.9%)
Road Turf ATS on turf as visitor
8-3 ATS (70.8%)

Game Results

W L Over Under
Date Day Type Opponent Score SU Line ATS Mar Tot OU Mar WX Surf Notes
10/25/26 SNF REG Chiefs 3-20 W -3 Cover 14 43.5 Under 20.5 Turf
10/15/26 TNF REG Broncos @ 14-17 OT L -2.5 Fail -5.5 40.5 Under 9.5 Grass
10/11/26 Sun Late REG 49ers 32-29 L -3 Fail -6 46.5 Over 14.5 Turf
10/04/26 Sun Late REG Chargers 23-30 W -7 Push 0 42.5 Over 10.5 Turf
09/27/26 Sun REG Commanders @ 31-33 L -8.5 Fail -10.5 40.5 Over 23.5 Grass
09/20/26 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 31-7 W -3.5 Cover 20.5 40.5 Under 2.5 Grass-Roof
09/09/26 Wed Night REG Patriots 10-13 W -3 Push 0 44.5 Under 21.5 Turf
02/08/26 Sun Late SB Patriots @ 29-13 W -4.5 Cover 11.5 46.5 Under 4.5 Grass
01/25/26 Sun Late CONF Rams 27-31 W -2.5 Cover 1.5 46.5 Over 11.5 Turf
01/17/26 Sat Night DIV 49ers 6-41 W -7 Cover 28 44 Over 3 Turf
01/03/26 Sat Night REG 49ers @ 13-3 W -2.5 Cover 7.5 48 Under 32 Grass
12/28/25 Sun REG Panthers @ 27-10 W -6.5 Cover 10.5 42.5 Under 5.5 Grass
12/18/25 TNF REG Rams 37-38 OT W -1.5 Fail -0.5 42.5 Over 32.5 Turf
12/14/25 Sun Late REG Colts 16-18 W -12.5 Fail -10.5 41.5 Under 7.5 Turf
12/07/25 Sun REG Falcons @ 37-9 W -6.5 Cover 21.5 44.5 Over 1.5 Turf-Roof
11/30/25 Sun Late REG Vikings 0-26 W -11.5 Cover 14.5 42 Under 16 Turf
11/23/25 Sun REG Titans @ 30-24 W -11.5 Fail -5.5 41.5 Over 12.5 Grass
11/16/25 Sun Late REG Rams @ 19-21 L 3.5 Cover 1.5 49 Under 9 Turf-Dome
11/09/25 Sun Late REG Cardinals 22-44 W -7 Cover 15 44.5 Over 21.5 Turf
11/02/25 SNF REG Commanders @ 38-14 W -2.5 Cover 21.5 47.5 Over 4.5 Grass
10/20/25 MNF REG Texans 19-27 W -3.5 Cover 4.5 41 Over 5 Turf
10/12/25 Sun REG Jaguars @ 20-12 W -1 Cover 7 47.5 Under 15.5 Grass
10/05/25 Sun Late REG Buccaneers 38-35 L -4 Fail -7 44.5 Over 28.5 Turf
09/25/25 TNF REG Cardinals @ 23-20 W -2 Cover 1 43.5 Under 0.5 Grass-Roof
09/21/25 Sun Late REG Saints 13-44 W -7 Cover 24 42 Over 15 Turf
09/14/25 Sun REG Steelers @ 31-17 W 3.5 Cover 17.5 41 Over 7 Grass
09/07/25 Sun Late REG 49ers 17-13 L 2 Fail -2 43.5 Under 13.5 Turf
01/05/25 Sun Late REG Rams @ 30-25 W -7 Fail -2 37.5 Over 17.5 Turf-Dome
12/26/24 TNF REG Bears @ 6-3 W -4.5 Fail -1.5 41.5 Under 32.5 Grass
12/22/24 Sun Late REG Vikings 27-24 L 2.5 Fail -0.5 43 Over 8 Turf
12/15/24 SNF REG Packers 30-13 L 3 Fail -14 48 Under 5 Turf
12/08/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 30-18 W 3 Cover 15 45.5 Over 2.5 Grass-Roof
12/01/24 Sun REG Jets @ 26-21 W 2 Cover 7 42 Over 5 Turf
11/24/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals 6-16 W 1.5 Cover 11.5 46 Under 24 Turf
11/17/24 Sun Late REG 49ers @ 20-17 W 5.5 Cover 8.5 48.5 Under 11.5 Grass
11/03/24 Sun Late REG Rams 26-20 OT L 1.5 Fail -4.5 48.5 Under 2.5 Turf
10/27/24 Sun Late REG Bills 31-10 L 3 Fail -18 45 Under 4 Turf
10/20/24 Sun REG Falcons @ 34-14 W 3 Cover 23 51 Under 3 Turf-Roof
10/10/24 TNF REG 49ers 36-24 L 3.5 Fail -8.5 48.5 Over 11.5 Turf
10/06/24 Sun Late REG Giants 29-20 L -6.5 Fail -15.5 42.5 Over 6.5 Turf
09/30/24 MNF REG Lions @ 29-42 L 4.5 Fail -8.5 47 Over 24 Turf-Dome
09/22/24 Sun Late REG Dolphins 3-24 W -4 Cover 17 41.5 Under 14.5 Turf
09/15/24 Sun REG Patriots @ 23-20 OT W -3 Push 0 39.5 Over 3.5 Turf
09/08/24 Sun Late REG Broncos 20-26 W -6.5 Fail -0.5 43 Over 3 Turf
01/07/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 21-20 W -2.5 Fail -1.5 47.5 Under 6.5 Grass-Roof
12/31/23 Sun Late REG Steelers 30-23 L -4 Fail -11 40.5 Over 12.5 Turf
12/24/23 Sun REG Titans @ 20-17 W -3 Push 0 42 Under 5 Grass
12/18/23 MNF REG Eagles 17-20 W 4 Cover 7 46.5 Under 9.5 Turf
12/10/23 Sun Late REG 49ers @ 16-28 L 14.5 Cover 2.5 44.5 Under 0.5 Grass
11/30/23 TNF REG Cowboys @ 35-41 L 9.5 Cover 3.5 47.5 Over 28.5 Turf-Roof
11/23/23 TNF REG 49ers 31-13 L 7 Fail -11 43.5 Over 0.5 Turf
11/19/23 Sun Late REG Rams @ 16-17 L 2 Cover 1 47 Under 14 Turf-Dome
11/12/23 Sun Late REG Commanders 26-29 W -6 Fail -3 43.5 Over 11.5 Turf
11/05/23 Sun REG Ravens @ 3-37 L 6 Fail -28 44 Under 4 Grass
10/29/23 Sun Late REG Browns 20-24 W -4 Push 0 38 Over 6 Turf
10/22/23 Sun Late REG Cardinals 10-20 W -10 Push 0 43.5 Under 13.5 Turf
10/15/23 Sun REG Bengals @ 13-17 L 3 Fail -1 46 Under 16 Turf
10/02/23 MNF REG Giants @ 24-3 W -1.5 Cover 19.5 47.5 Under 20.5 Turf
09/24/23 Sun Late REG Panthers 27-37 W -4 Cover 6 43.5 Over 20.5 Turf
09/17/23 Sun REG Lions @ 37-31 OT W 4.5 Cover 10.5 47.5 Over 20.5 Turf-Dome
09/10/23 Sun Late REG Rams 30-13 L -3.5 Fail -20.5 44.5 Under 1.5 Turf

Division Results

W L Over Under
Date Day Type Opponent Score SU Line ATS Mar Total OU Mar Surf
10/11/26 Sun Late REG 49ers 32-29 L -3 Fail -6 46.5 Over 14.5 Turf
09/20/26 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 31-7 W -3.5 Cover 20.5 40.5 Under 2.5 Grass-Roof
01/25/26 Sun Late CONF Rams 27-31 W -2.5 Cover 1.5 46.5 Over 11.5 Turf
01/17/26 Sat Night DIV 49ers 6-41 W -7 Cover 28 44 Over 3 Turf
01/03/26 Sat Night REG 49ers @ 13-3 W -2.5 Cover 7.5 48 Under 32 Grass
12/18/25 TNF REG Rams 37-38 OT W -1.5 Fail -0.5 42.5 Over 32.5 Turf
11/16/25 Sun Late REG Rams @ 19-21 L 3.5 Cover 1.5 49 Under 9 Turf-Dome
11/09/25 Sun Late REG Cardinals 22-44 W -7 Cover 15 44.5 Over 21.5 Turf
09/25/25 TNF REG Cardinals @ 23-20 W -2 Cover 1 43.5 Under 0.5 Grass-Roof
09/07/25 Sun Late REG 49ers 17-13 L 2 Fail -2 43.5 Under 13.5 Turf
01/05/25 Sun Late REG Rams @ 30-25 W -7 Fail -2 37.5 Over 17.5 Turf-Dome
12/08/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 30-18 W 3 Cover 15 45.5 Over 2.5 Grass-Roof
11/24/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals 6-16 W 1.5 Cover 11.5 46 Under 24 Turf
11/17/24 Sun Late REG 49ers @ 20-17 W 5.5 Cover 8.5 48.5 Under 11.5 Grass
11/03/24 Sun Late REG Rams 26-20 OT L 1.5 Fail -4.5 48.5 Under 2.5 Turf
10/10/24 TNF REG 49ers 36-24 L 3.5 Fail -8.5 48.5 Over 11.5 Turf
01/07/24 Sun Late REG Cardinals @ 21-20 W -2.5 Fail -1.5 47.5 Under 6.5 Grass-Roof
12/10/23 Sun Late REG 49ers @ 16-28 L 14.5 Cover 2.5 44.5 Under 0.5 Grass
11/23/23 TNF REG 49ers 31-13 L 7 Fail -11 43.5 Over 0.5 Turf
11/19/23 Sun Late REG Rams @ 16-17 L 2 Cover 1 47 Under 14 Turf-Dome
10/22/23 Sun Late REG Cardinals 10-20 W -10 Push 0 43.5 Under 13.5 Turf
09/10/23 Sun Late REG Rams 30-13 L -3.5 Fail -20.5 44.5 Under 1.5 Turf

Team Statistics

Offense

Points1,491 Rank: 9
Points / Game24.4 Rank: 9
Pass Attempts1,966 Rank: 16
Attempts / Game32.2 Rank: 21
Completions1,311 Rank: 12
Completion %66.7 Rank: 7
Pass Yards15,007 Rank: 9
Pass Yards / Game246.0 Rank: 7
Pass Yards / Attempt7.6 Rank: 6
Pass Touchdowns86 Rank: 17
Pass Touchdown %4.4 Rank: 16
Sacks Suffered141 Rank: 15
Sack Yards Lost972 Rank: 17
Intercepted51 Rank: 26
Intercepted %2.6 Rank: 24
Pass Rating93.2 Rank: 11
Carries1,569 Rank: 19
Carries / Game25.7 Rank: 24
Rush Yards6,489 Rank: 22
Rush Yards / Game106.4 Rank: 23
Rush Yards / Carry4.1 Rank: 24
Rush Touchdowns57 Rank: 12
Total Fumbles50 Rank: 11
Fumbles Lost22 Rank: 5

Defense

Points Allowed1,233 Rank: 3
Points / Game Allowed20.2 Rank: 3
Pass Attempts Allowed2,076 Rank: 21
Attempts / Game Allowed34.0 Rank: 25
Completions Allowed1,335 Rank: 22
Completion % Allowed64.3 Rank: 14
Pass Yards Allowed13,727 Rank: 14
Pass Yards / Game Allowed225.0 Rank: 8
Pass Yards / Attempt Allowed6.6 Rank: 1
Pass Touchdowns Allowed80 Rank: 5
Pass Touchdown % Allowed3.9 Rank: 29
Sacks165 Rank: 4
Sack Yards1,110 Rank: 7
Interceptions53 Rank: 5
Interception %2.6 Rank: 8
Opponents Pass Rating85.4 Rank: 2
Carries Allowed1,631 Rank: 17
Carries / Game Allowed26.7 Rank: 17
Rush Yards Allowed6,890 Rank: 14
Rush Yards / Game Allowed113.0 Rank: 13
Rush Yards / Carry Allowed4.2 Rank: 13
Rush Touchdowns Allowed48 Rank: 8
Opponent Fumbles48 Rank: 25
Fumbles Recovered24 Rank: 20