Predictions

Objective algorithmic probability outputs across spreads, totals, and win probabilities

53.8%
ATS Win Rate
vs Closing Lines
53.8% vs Opening Lines
83.3%
Accuracy
10-2
% of winners predicted
80.0%
Money Line Efficiency
vs Closing Lines
80.0% vs Opening Lines
+0.4u
Units Profit
ATS at -110
Cumulative net units won minus losses

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2002-Present

Season Summary

How our model's ATS projections actually fared in each situation — a retrospective record, not a forward prediction.

Model ATS Record

Type Record Accuracy
Favorite 2-2-0 50.0%
Underdog 5-4-0 55.6%
Even 0-0-0 0.0%
Home 4-1-0 80.0%
Home Dog 1-0-0 100.0%

ATS Confidence

Confidence Record Accuracy
6-6-0 50.0%
1-0-0 100.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
Total 7-6-0 53.8%

Point Spread Range

Range Record Accuracy
Even - 2.5 1-3-0 25.0%
3 - 4 4-1-0 80.0%
4.5 - 5.5 2-0-0 100.0%
6 - 7 0-1-0 0.0%
10+ 0-1-0 0.0%

Winner Confidence

Rating Record Accuracy
4-1-0 80.0%
2-1-0 66.7%
1-0-0 100.0%
1-0-0 100.0%
2-0-0 100.0%
Total 10-2-0 83.3%

Money Line Value

Value Tier Record Accuracy
vs Closing Lines
High Value 3-0-0 100.0%
Small Value 1-1-0 50.0%
vs Opening Lines
High Value 3-0-0 100.0%
Med Value 1-1-0 50.0%

Over/Under Confidence

Projection Record Accuracy
Over 0-0 --
Under 0-0 --

Prediction Engine by Week

ATS Win Rate
Winner Accuracy
Favorite Win Rate

Game History

Correct Wrong Push
Date Week Visitor Home Score H Line Projected Rating Result
02/08/26 Week 22 Seahawks Seahawks Patriots Patriots 29-13 4.5 Seahawks 2 Correct
01/25/26 Week 21 Rams Rams Seahawks Seahawks 27-31 -2.5 Rams 1 Wrong
01/25/26 Week 21 Patriots Patriots Broncos Broncos 10-7 4 Broncos 1 Correct
01/18/26 Week 20 Rams Rams Bears Bears 20-17 3.5 Rams 1 Wrong
01/18/26 Week 20 Texans Texans Patriots Patriots 16-28 -3 Patriots 1 Correct
01/17/26 Week 20 49ers 49ers Seahawks Seahawks 6-41 -7 49ers 1 Wrong
01/17/26 Week 20 Bills Bills Broncos Broncos 30-33 -1 Broncos 1 Correct
01/12/26 Week 19 Texans Texans Steelers Steelers 30-6 3 Texans 1 Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 Chargers Chargers Patriots Patriots 3-16 -3.5 Patriots 1 Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 49ers 49ers Eagles Eagles 23-19 -5.5 49ers 1 Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 Bills Bills Jaguars Jaguars 27-24 -1.5 Jaguars 1 Wrong
01/10/26 Week 19 Packers Packers Bears Bears 27-31 2 Packers 1 Wrong
01/10/26 Week 19 Rams Rams Panthers Panthers 34-31 10 Rams 1 Wrong
Season Summary 7-6-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score Projected Probability Rating Result
01/25/26 Week 21 Rams Rams Seahawks Seahawks 27-31 Seahawks 53.4% 1 Correct
01/25/26 Week 21 Patriots Patriots Broncos Broncos 10-7 Patriots 58.1% 2 Correct
01/18/26 Week 20 Rams Rams Bears Bears 20-17 Rams 55.5% 1 Correct
01/18/26 Week 20 Texans Texans Patriots Patriots 16-28 Patriots 80.1% 5 Correct
01/17/26 Week 20 49ers 49ers Seahawks Seahawks 6-41 Seahawks 65.1% 3 Correct
01/17/26 Week 20 Bills Bills Broncos Broncos 30-33 Broncos 53.7% 1 Correct
01/12/26 Week 19 Texans Texans Steelers Steelers 30-6 Texans 51.1% 1 Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 Chargers Chargers Patriots Patriots 3-16 Patriots 83.2% 5 Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 49ers 49ers Eagles Eagles 23-19 Eagles 60.3% 2 Wrong
01/11/26 Week 19 Bills Bills Jaguars Jaguars 27-24 Jaguars 55.0% 1 Wrong
01/10/26 Week 19 Packers Packers Bears Bears 27-31 Bears 61.3% 2 Correct
01/10/26 Week 19 Rams Rams Panthers Panthers 34-31 Rams 75.7% 4 Correct
Season Summary 10-2-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score ML Odds EV Value Tier Projected Result
01/18/26 Week 20 Texans Texans Patriots Patriots 16-28 -170 +27.17% High Patriots Correct
01/17/26 Week 20 Bills Bills Broncos Broncos 30-33 -110 +2.50% Small Broncos Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 Chargers Chargers Patriots Patriots 3-16 -200 +24.75% High Patriots Correct
01/11/26 Week 19 Bills Bills Jaguars Jaguars 27-24 -120 +0.87% Small Jaguars Wrong
01/10/26 Week 19 Packers Packers Bears Bears 27-31 +115 +31.83% High Bears Correct
Season Summary 4-1-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score Total Projected Result
Season Summary 0-0-0