Predictions

Objective algorithmic probability outputs across spreads, totals, and win probabilities

47.1%
ATS Win Rate
vs Closing Lines
44.1% vs Opening Lines
--
Accuracy
0-0
% of winners predicted
--
Money Line Efficiency
vs Closing Lines
-- vs Opening Lines
-1.6u
Units Profit
ATS at -110
Cumulative net units won minus losses

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2012

Season Summary

How our model's ATS picks actually fared in each situation — a retrospective record, not a forward prediction.

Model ATS Record

Type Record Accuracy
Favorite 5-8-0 38.5%
Underdog 2-0-2 75.0%
Even 0-0-0 0.0%
Home 1-0-1 75.0%
Home Dog 0-0-0 0.0%

ATS Confidence

Confidence Record Accuracy
2-0-0 100.0%
1-2-1 37.5%
3-4-1 43.8%
0-2-0 0.0%
1-0-0 100.0%
Total 7-8-2 47.1%

Point Spread Range

Range Record Accuracy
Even - 2.5 3-2-1 58.3%
3 - 4 2-4-1 35.7%
6 - 7 1-2-0 33.3%
10+ 1-0-0 100.0%

Winner Confidence

Rating Record Accuracy
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
Total 0-0-0 --

Money Line Value

Value Tier Record Accuracy
vs Closing Lines
vs Opening Lines
No opening lines this season

Over/Under Confidence

Pick Record Accuracy
Over 0-0 --
Under 0-0 --

Prediction Engine by Week

ATS Win Rate
Winner Accuracy
Favorite Win Rate

Game History

Correct Wrong Push
Date Week Visitor Home Score H Line Projected Rating Result
12/30/12 Week 17 Cowboys Cowboys Commanders Commanders 18-28 -3 Cowboys 4 Wrong
12/23/12 Week 16 49ers 49ers Seahawks Seahawks 13-42 -2.5 49ers 4 Wrong
12/16/12 Week 15 49ers 49ers Patriots Patriots 41-34 -4 49ers 3 Correct
12/09/12 Week 14 Lions Lions Packers Packers 20-27 -6 Lions 3 Wrong
12/02/12 Week 13 Eagles Eagles Cowboys Cowboys 33-38 -10.5 Eagles 5 Correct
11/25/12 Week 12 Packers Packers Giants Giants 10-38 -3 Packers 3 Wrong
11/18/12 Week 11 Ravens Ravens Steelers Steelers 13-10 3 Ravens 3 Push
11/11/12 Week 10 Texans Texans Bears Bears 13-6 -1 Texans 2 Correct
11/04/12 Week 9 Cowboys Cowboys Falcons Falcons 13-19 -4 Cowboys 3 Wrong
10/28/12 Week 8 Saints Saints Broncos Broncos 14-34 -6 Saints 2 Wrong
10/21/12 Week 7 Steelers Steelers Bengals Bengals 24-17 1.5 Steelers 3 Correct
10/14/12 Week 6 Packers Packers Texans Texans 42-24 -4 Packers 3 Correct
10/07/12 Week 5 Chargers Chargers Saints Saints 24-31 -3.5 Chargers 3 Wrong
09/30/12 Week 4 Giants Giants Eagles Eagles 17-19 -2 Eagles 2 Push
09/23/12 Week 3 Patriots Patriots Ravens Ravens 30-31 -2.5 Patriots 1 Correct
09/16/12 Week 2 Lions Lions 49ers 49ers 19-27 -7 49ers 1 Correct
09/09/12 Week 1 Steelers Steelers Broncos Broncos 19-31 -2.5 Steelers 2 Wrong
Season Summary 7-8-2
Date Week Visitor Home Score Projected Probability Rating Result
Season Summary 0-0-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score ML Odds EV Value Tier Projected Result
Season Summary 0-0-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score Total Projected Result
Season Summary 0-0-0