Predictions

Objective algorithmic probability outputs across spreads, totals, and win probabilities

50.0%
ATS Win Rate
vs Closing Lines
50.0% vs Opening Lines
--
Accuracy
0-0
% of winners predicted
--
Money Line Efficiency
vs Closing Lines
-- vs Opening Lines
-0.8u
Units Profit
ATS at -110
Cumulative net units won minus losses

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2023

Season Summary

How our model's ATS projections actually fared in each situation — a retrospective record, not a forward prediction.

Model ATS Record

Type Record Accuracy
Favorite 4-6-0 40.0%
Underdog 5-3-0 62.5%
Even 0-0-0 0.0%
Home 1-2-0 33.3%
Home Dog 1-1-0 50.0%

ATS Confidence

Confidence Record Accuracy
7-6-0 53.8%
2-3-0 40.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
Total 9-9-0 50.0%

Point Spread Range

Range Record Accuracy
Even - 2.5 4-2-0 66.7%
3 - 4 3-4-0 42.9%
6 - 7 0-1-0 0.0%
7.5 - 9.5 1-2-0 33.3%
10+ 1-0-0 100.0%

Winner Confidence

Rating Record Accuracy
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
0-0-0 0.0%
Total 0-0-0 --

Money Line Value

Value Tier Record Accuracy
vs Closing Lines
vs Opening Lines
No opening lines this season

Over/Under Confidence

Projection Record Accuracy
Over 0-0 --
Under 0-0 --

Prediction Engine by Week

ATS Win Rate
Winner Accuracy
Favorite Win Rate

Game History

Correct Wrong Push
Date Week Visitor Home Score H Line Projected Rating Result
01/07/24 Week 18 Bills Bills Dolphins Dolphins 21-14 2.5 Bills 2 Correct
12/31/23 Week 17 Packers Packers Vikings Vikings 33-10 1 Packers 1 Correct
12/24/23 Week 16 Patriots Patriots Broncos Broncos 26-23 -7.5 Patriots 1 Correct
12/17/23 Week 15 Ravens Ravens Jaguars Jaguars 23-7 3.5 Ravens 1 Correct
12/10/23 Week 14 Eagles Eagles Cowboys Cowboys 13-33 -3.5 Eagles 1 Wrong
12/03/23 Week 13 Chiefs Chiefs Packers Packers 19-27 6 Chiefs 1 Wrong
11/26/23 Week 12 Ravens Ravens Chargers Chargers 20-10 3 Chargers 1 Wrong
11/19/23 Week 11 Vikings Vikings Broncos Broncos 20-21 -2.5 Broncos 2 Wrong
11/12/23 Week 10 Jets Jets Raiders Raiders 12-16 1 Raiders 1 Correct
11/05/23 Week 9 Bills Bills Bengals Bengals 18-24 -1.5 Bills 1 Wrong
10/29/23 Week 8 Bears Bears Chargers Chargers 13-30 -9.5 Bears 1 Wrong
10/22/23 Week 7 Dolphins Dolphins Eagles Eagles 17-31 -3 Dolphins 2 Wrong
10/15/23 Week 6 Giants Giants Bills Bills 9-14 -15.5 Giants 1 Correct
10/08/23 Week 5 Cowboys Cowboys 49ers 49ers 10-42 -3.5 Cowboys 2 Wrong
10/01/23 Week 4 Chiefs Chiefs Jets Jets 23-20 8 Chiefs 1 Wrong
09/24/23 Week 3 Steelers Steelers Raiders Raiders 23-18 -3 Steelers 2 Correct
09/17/23 Week 2 Dolphins Dolphins Patriots Patriots 24-17 1.5 Dolphins 1 Correct
09/10/23 Week 1 Cowboys Cowboys Giants Giants 40-0 3 Cowboys 1 Correct
Season Summary 9-9-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score Projected Probability Rating Result
Season Summary 0-0-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score ML Odds EV Value Tier Projected Result
Season Summary 0-0-0
Date Week Visitor Home Score Total Projected Result
Season Summary 0-0-0