Point Spreads

Map spread performance taxes to find where public sentiment splits from the sharp reality

Home Favorite / Away Underdog Performance

10+ 2 games
Home Win % .500
Avg Margin -4.8 pts
Neutral zone
7.5 to 9.5 2 games
Home Win % .500
Avg Margin 9.3 pts
Neutral zone
6 to 7 3 games
Home Win % .667
Avg Margin 6.0 pts
Favorites cover well
3 to 4 4 games
Home Win % .875
Avg Margin 4.4 pts
Favorites cover well
0.5 to 2.5 2 games
Home Win % .500
Avg Margin 5.3 pts
Neutral zone

Away Favorite / Home Underdog Performance

6 to 7 1 games
Away Win % 1.000
Avg Margin 21.0 pts
Favorites cover well
3 to 4 1 games
Away Win % 1.000
Avg Margin 14.0 pts
Favorites cover well
0.5 to 2.5 1 games
Away Win % 1.000
Avg Margin 5.0 pts
Favorites cover well

Pick'em / No Favorite

Line Movement Analysis

No opening-line data for this selection yet - line movement fills in as games are captured with an opening line.

Distribution of Win Margins ATS

16 Games Push 1 Pt 2 Pts 3 Pts 4+ Pts 4+ Pct
ATS Win Margin 1 0 0 0 15 .938
While the market is efficient at picking a "middle" number, the actual game outcomes are highly volatile. Most results either "cover with ease" or "miss by a mile," with very little middle ground.

Key Spread Insights

Home Underdogs

0%

ATS win rate for home dogs getting 3+ points

Road Favorites

100%

Road favs of 7+ pts struggle to cover

Revenge Games

45.8%

Teams facing recent loss to opponent

Post-Bye Week

0%

Teams coming off bye week ATS