This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2016 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

League  | Monday Night | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
-6 to -7 7 0 4 .571 0.9 3 .429 -0.9
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -18.5 1 1.000 18.5
-3 to -4 3 0 1 .333 -8 2 .667 8
Even 1 0 1 1.000 1 0 .000 -1
0 to 2.5 2 0 0 .000 -24.5 2 1.000 24.5
3 to 4 1 0 1 1.000 31 0 .000 -31
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 15 0 .000 -15
Overall 17 0 9 .529 -1.7 8 .471 1.7
Division  | Monday Night | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -9 1 1.000 9
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -16 1 1.000 16
3 to 4 1 0 1 1.000 31 0 .000 -31
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 15 0 .000 -15
Overall 4 0 2 .500 5.3 2 .500 -5.3
Conference  | Monday Night | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
-6 to -7 4 0 3 .750 -0.4 1 .250 0.4
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -18.5 1 1.000 18.5
-3 to -4 2 0 1 .500 -4 1 .500 4
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -29 1 1.000 29
Overall 9 0 5 .556 -5.3 4 .444 5.3
Inter-Conference  | Monday Night | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 8.5 1 .500 -8.5
Even 1 0 1 1.000 1 0 .000 -1
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -20 1 1.000 20
Overall 4 0 2 .500 -0.5 2 .500 0.5
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