This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2016 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2026 Season 2025 Season 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 4 0 4 1.000 10.4 0 .000 -10.4
-7.5 to -9.5 8 0 5 .625 3.1 3 .375 -3.1
-6 to -7 10 1 5 .550 1.2 4 .450 -1.2
-4.5 to -5.5 5 0 3 .600 -0.6 2 .400 0.6
-3 to -4 16 2 9 .625 3.4 5 .375 -3.4
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 1 2 .667 -1
Even 2 0 1 .500 -2.5 1 .500 2.5
0 to 2.5 3 0 1 .333 -14.7 2 .667 14.7
3 to 4 12 0 7 .583 2.4 5 .417 -2.4
4.5 to 5.5 3 0 2 .667 10 1 .333 -10
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -12 1 1.000 12
Overall 68 3 39 .596 2.1 26 .404 -2.1
Division  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 0 3 1.000 12.8 0 .000 -12.8
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 1 .500 -2 1 .500 2
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 -1.3 1 .500 1.3
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 1 .500 -2.5 1 .500 2.5
-3 to -4 9 2 4 .556 1.1 3 .444 -1.1
0 to -2.5 2 0 1 .500 3.8 1 .500 -3.8
Even 1 0 0 .000 -6 1 1.000 6
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 5 0 .000 -5
3 to 4 8 0 4 .500 1.4 4 .500 -1.4
4.5 to 5.5 3 0 2 .667 10 1 .333 -10
Overall 33 2 18 .576 2.6 13 .424 -2.6
Conference  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 1 1.000 3 0 .000 -3
-7.5 to -9.5 4 0 4 1.000 13.5 0 .000 -13.5
-6 to -7 6 1 3 .583 -0.4 2 .417 0.4
-4.5 to -5.5 3 0 2 .667 0.7 1 .333 -0.7
-3 to -4 7 0 5 .714 6.5 2 .286 -6.5
0 to -2.5 1 0 0 .000 -4.5 1 1.000 4.5
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -29 1 1.000 29
3 to 4 3 0 2 .667 4.5 1 .333 -4.5
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -12 1 1.000 12
Overall 28 1 18 .661 2.8 9 .339 -2.8
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 0 .000 -12.5 2 1.000 12.5
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 8.5 1 .500 -8.5
Even 1 0 1 1.000 1 0 .000 -1
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -20 1 1.000 20
3 to 4 1 0 1 1.000 4 0 .000 -4
Overall 7 0 3 .429 -3.3 4 .571 3.3
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