This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2016 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

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All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 0 3 1.000 6.7 0 .000 -6.7
-7.5 to -9.5 7 0 5 .714 5.1 2 .286 -5.1
-6 to -7 9 1 4 .500 0.6 4 .500 -0.6
-4.5 to -5.5 3 0 2 .667 -2.8 1 .333 2.8
-3 to -4 12 2 6 .583 3.6 4 .417 -3.6
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 1 2 .667 -1
Even 2 0 1 .500 -2.5 1 .500 2.5
0 to 2.5 3 0 1 .333 -14.7 2 .667 14.7
3 to 4 10 0 7 .700 6.1 3 .300 -6.1
4.5 to 5.5 2 0 1 .500 2.3 1 .500 -2.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -12 1 1.000 12
Overall 55 3 31 .591 1.9 21 .409 -1.9
Division  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 2 1.000 8.5 0 .000 -8.5
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 1 1.000 7 0 .000 -7
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -9 1 1.000 9
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 0.5 0 .000 -0.5
-3 to -4 7 2 3 .571 1.7 2 .429 -1.7
0 to -2.5 2 0 1 .500 3.8 1 .500 -3.8
Even 1 0 0 .000 -6 1 1.000 6
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 5 0 .000 -5
3 to 4 7 0 4 .571 3.7 3 .429 -3.7
4.5 to 5.5 2 0 1 .500 2.3 1 .500 -2.3
Overall 25 2 14 .600 2.6 9 .400 -2.6
Conference  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 1 1.000 3 0 .000 -3
-7.5 to -9.5 4 0 4 1.000 13.5 0 .000 -13.5
-6 to -7 6 1 3 .583 -0.4 2 .417 0.4
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 1 .500 -4.5 1 .500 4.5
-3 to -4 5 0 3 .600 6.3 2 .400 -6.3
0 to -2.5 1 0 0 .000 -4.5 1 1.000 4.5
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -29 1 1.000 29
3 to 4 2 0 2 1.000 15.3 0 .000 -15.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -12 1 1.000 12
Overall 23 1 14 .630 2.7 8 .370 -2.7
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2016
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 0 .000 -12.5 2 1.000 12.5
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 8.5 1 .500 -8.5
Even 1 0 1 1.000 1 0 .000 -1
0 to 2.5 1 0 0 .000 -20 1 1.000 20
3 to 4 1 0 1 1.000 4 0 .000 -4
Overall 7 0 3 .429 -3.3 4 .571 3.3
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