This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2018 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

League  | Sunday Night | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 0 .000 -20.5 1 1.000 20.5
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14.5 1 1.000 14.5
-6 to -7 3 0 1 .333 5.7 2 .667 -5.7
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
-3 to -4 6 0 2 .333 -2.4 4 .667 2.4
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 2.5 0 .000 -2.5
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 8 0 .000 -8
3 to 4 3 0 1 .333 0.5 2 .667 -0.5
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 23 0 .000 -23
Overall 19 0 8 .421 0.1 11 .579 -0.1
Division  | Sunday Night | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14.5 1 1.000 14.5
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -6 1 1.000 6
-3 to -4 3 0 2 .667 -2.5 1 .333 2.5
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 2.5 0 .000 -2.5
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
Overall 7 0 3 .429 -5.1 4 .571 5.1
Conference  | Sunday Night | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 0 .000 -20.5 1 1.000 20.5
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 11.5 1 .500 -11.5
-3 to -4 2 0 0 .000 -3.3 2 1.000 3.3
3 to 4 2 0 1 .500 2.3 1 .500 -2.3
Overall 7 0 2 .286 0.1 5 .714 -0.1
Inter-Conference  | Sunday Night | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -0.5 1 1.000 0.5
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 8 0 .000 -8
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -3 1 1.000 3
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 23 0 .000 -23
Overall 5 0 3 .600 7.3 2 .400 -7.3
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