This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2018 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

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All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 0 2 .667 -5.3 1 .333 5.3
-7.5 to -9.5 4 0 1 .250 -2.4 3 .750 2.4
-6 to -7 7 0 4 .571 1 3 .429 -1
-4.5 to -5.5 3 0 2 .667 2.2 1 .333 -2.2
-3 to -4 16 0 7 .438 0.8 9 .563 -0.8
0 to -2.5 7 0 4 .571 3.9 3 .429 -3.9
0 to 2.5 3 0 2 .667 -4.7 1 .333 4.7
3 to 4 6 0 2 .333 -0.3 4 .667 0.3
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
6 to 7 3 0 2 .667 4 1 .333 -4
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 10.5 0 .000 -10.5
10+ 1 0 0 .000 -5 1 1.000 5
Overall 55 0 27 .491 0.3 28 .509 -0.3
Division  | Primetime | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 1 1.000 1 0 .000 -1
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14.5 1 1.000 14.5
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 1.5 1 .500 -1.5
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 16.5 0 .000 -16.5
-3 to -4 5 0 3 .600 0.3 2 .400 -0.3
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 2.5 0 .000 -2.5
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 12 0 .000 -12
3 to 4 3 0 1 .333 -1 2 .667 1
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 0 .000 -10.5 1 1.000 10.5
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 3 0 .000 -3
10+ 1 0 0 .000 -5 1 1.000 5
Overall 18 0 10 .556 0.4 8 .444 -0.4
Conference  | Primetime | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 1 .500 -8.5 1 .500 8.5
-7.5 to -9.5 3 0 1 .333 1.7 2 .667 -1.7
-6 to -7 4 0 3 .750 10.5 1 .250 -10.5
-3 to -4 8 0 3 .375 -1.9 5 .625 1.9
0 to -2.5 4 0 2 .500 0 2 .500 0
3 to 4 2 0 1 .500 2.3 1 .500 -2.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 10.5 0 .000 -10.5
Overall 24 0 12 .500 1.2 12 .500 -1.2
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2018
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 1 0 0 .000 -38 1 1.000 38
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 1 .500 -5 1 .500 5
-3 to -4 3 0 1 .333 8.8 2 .667 -8.8
0 to -2.5 2 0 1 .500 12.3 1 .500 -12.3
0 to 2.5 2 0 1 .500 -13 1 .500 13
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -3 1 1.000 3
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 4.5 1 .500 -4.5
Overall 13 0 5 .385 -1.3 8 .615 1.3
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