This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2025 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2026 Season  2025 Season 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2025
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 1 1 .500 2.8 1 .500 -2.8
-7.5 to -9.5 6 0 2 .333 -4.2 4 .667 4.2
-6 to -7 5 0 4 .800 11.6 1 .200 -11.6
-4.5 to -5.5 4 0 0 .000 -9.6 4 1.000 9.6
-3 to -4 13 0 8 .615 1.6 5 .385 -1.6
0 to -2.5 9 0 5 .556 -0.5 4 .444 0.5
0 to 2.5 7 0 4 .571 2.9 3 .429 -2.9
3 to 4 11 0 4 .364 -5.5 7 .636 5.5
4.5 to 5.5 2 0 2 1.000 8 0 .000 -8
6 to 7 6 0 4 .667 5.7 2 .333 -5.7
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14 1 1.000 14
10+ 2 0 2 1.000 6.8 0 .000 -6.8
Overall 69 1 36 .529 0.4 32 .471 -0.4
Division  | Primetime | 2025
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 1 0 .250 -1 1 .750 1
-7.5 to -9.5 4 0 0 .000 -11.5 4 1.000 11.5
-6 to -7 2 0 1 .500 9 1 .500 -9
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -6.5 1 1.000 6.5
-3 to -4 1 0 0 .000 -1 1 1.000 1
0 to -2.5 3 0 2 .667 2.3 1 .333 -2.3
0 to 2.5 3 0 1 .333 1.2 2 .667 -1.2
3 to 4 4 0 2 .500 0 2 .500 0
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 7 0 .000 -7
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 9.8 1 .500 -9.8
10+ 1 0 1 1.000 6.5 0 .000 -6.5
Overall 24 1 9 .396 0.3 14 .604 -0.3
Conference  | Primetime | 2025
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 2 1.000 10.5 0 .000 -10.5
-6 to -7 2 0 2 1.000 14.5 0 .000 -14.5
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 0 .000 -9.8 2 1.000 9.8
-3 to -4 10 0 6 .600 -0.6 4 .400 0.6
0 to -2.5 3 0 2 .667 0.2 1 .333 -0.2
0 to 2.5 3 0 2 .667 4 1 .333 -4
3 to 4 3 0 1 .333 -12 2 .667 12
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 9 0 .000 -9
6 to 7 2 0 2 1.000 8.3 0 .000 -8.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14 1 1.000 14
10+ 1 0 1 1.000 7 0 .000 -7
Overall 30 0 19 .633 0.7 11 .367 -0.7
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2025
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 1 0 1 1.000 10.5 0 .000 -10.5
-6 to -7 1 0 1 1.000 11 0 .000 -11
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -12.5 1 1.000 12.5
-3 to -4 2 0 2 1.000 14 0 .000 -14
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 -4 2 .667 4
0 to 2.5 1 0 1 1.000 5 0 .000 -5
3 to 4 4 0 1 .250 -6.3 3 .750 6.3
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 -1 1 .500 1
Overall 15 0 8 .533 0.2 7 .467 -0.2
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