We don't want to rely solely on stats, trends, and rankings so we worked out the math to implement a model to predict NFL outcomes against the spread. We call our innovative math model TREND-SEARCH™ and it's based on the best set of trends from a superset of over 1 million data points defined in our proprietary database. The math model is applied to each weekly NFL matchup to find the team that matches the selected trends. Each trend used in our model is updated weekly because the past data that indicates future winners' changes that quickly in the NFL. The TREND-SEARCH math model is 100% objective and quantitative; it incorporates no subjective opinions or assumptions about teams, players, or matchups. Associated with every NFL pick is a mathematical confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. We always post all the predictions our model made to provide full transparency.

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-Present 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018 2016-2017 2015-2016 2014-2015 2013-2014 2012-2013 2011-2012 2010-2011 2009-2010 2008-2009 2007-2008 2006-2007 2005-2006 2004-2005 2003-2004 2002-2003  2002-Present
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night  Thursday Night All Primetime
Predictions Summary | Thursday Night | 2002-Present
Projected Team Is Correct Wrong Push Pct
Favorite ATS 28 19 2 .592
Underdog ATS 38 34 1 .527
Even ATS 2 0 0 1.000
Home ATS 12 9 1 .568
Home Dog ATS 4 6 0 .400
Overall 68 53 3 .560
chart
 
Projected Team Rated As Correct Wrong Push Pct
Rating 35 27 3 .562
Rating Rating 21 16 0 .568
Rating Rating Rating 10 8 0 .556
Rating Rating Rating Rating 2 2 0 .500
Rating Rating Rating Rating Rating 0 0 0 .000
chart
Predictions This Week
Date Week Day Visitor Home H Line Projected Rating
Predictions Results
Date Week Day Visitor Score Home Score Line Projected Actual Rating Result Margin
12/28/23 17 Thu Night Jets Jets 20 Browns Browns 37 -7.5 Browns Browns 1 Correct Tick 9.5
12/21/23 16 Thu Night Saints Saints 22 Rams Rams 30 -4 Saints Rams 1 Wrong Cross -4
12/14/23 15 Thu Night Chargers Chargers 21 Raiders Raiders 63 -3 Chargers Raiders 2 Wrong Cross -39
12/07/23 14 Thu Night Patriots Patriots 21 Steelers Steelers 18 -5 Patriots Patriots 1 Correct Tick 8
11/30/23 13 Thu Night Seahawks Seahawks 35 Cowboys Cowboys 41 -9.5 Seahawks Seahawks 2 Correct Tick 3.5
11/23/23 12 Thu Night 49ers 49ers 31 Seahawks Seahawks 13 7 49ers 49ers 1 Correct Tick 11
11/16/23 11 Thu Night Bengals Bengals 20 Ravens Ravens 34 -4 Bengals Ravens 1 Wrong Cross -10
11/09/23 10 Thu Night Panthers Panthers 13 Bears Bears 16 -3 Panthers 1 Push Bullet 0
11/02/23 9 Thu Night Titans Titans 16 Steelers Steelers 20 -3 Steelers Steelers 1 Correct Tick 1
10/26/23 8 Thu Night Buccaneers Buccaneers 18 Bills Bills 24 -8.5 Buccaneers Buccaneers 1 Correct Tick 2.5
10/19/23 7 Thu Night Jaguars Jaguars 31 Saints Saints 24 -2 Jaguars Jaguars 2 Correct Tick 9
10/12/23 6 Thu Night Broncos Broncos 8 Chiefs Chiefs 19 -10.5 Broncos Chiefs 2 Wrong Cross -0.5
10/05/23 5 Thu Night Bears Bears 40 Commanders Commanders 20 -6 Bears Bears 3 Correct Tick 26
09/28/23 4 Thu Night Lions Lions 34 Packers Packers 20 2.5 Lions Lions 1 Correct Tick 11.5
09/21/23 3 Thu Night Giants Giants 12 49ers 49ers 30 -10.5 49ers 49ers 1 Correct Tick 7.5
09/14/23 2 Thu Night Vikings Vikings 28 Eagles Eagles 34 -6.5 Vikings Vikings 1 Correct Tick 0.5
09/07/23 1 Thu Night Lions Lions 21 Chiefs Chiefs 20 -4.5 Lions Lions 1 Correct Tick 5.5
12/29/22 17 Thu Night Cowboys Cowboys 27 Titans Titans 13 10 Cowboys Cowboys 4 Correct Tick 4
12/22/22 16 Thu Night Jaguars Jaguars 19 Jets Jets 3 Even Jaguars Jaguars 1 Correct Tick 16
12/15/22 15 Thu Night 49ers 49ers 21 Seahawks Seahawks 13 3.5 49ers 49ers 3 Correct Tick 4.5
12/08/22 14 Thu Night Raiders Raiders 16 Rams Rams 17 6 Raiders Rams 3 Wrong Cross -7
12/01/22 13 Thu Night Bills Bills 24 Patriots Patriots 10 4 Bills Bills 3 Correct Tick 10
11/24/22 12 Thu Night Patriots Patriots 26 Vikings Vikings 33 -2.5 Patriots Vikings 2 Wrong Cross -4.5
11/17/22 11 Thu Night Titans Titans 27 Packers Packers 17 -3 Titans Titans 3 Correct Tick 13
11/10/22 10 Thu Night Falcons Falcons 15 Panthers Panthers 25 2.5 Panthers Panthers 1 Correct Tick 12.5
11/03/22 9 Thu Night Eagles Eagles 29 Texans Texans 17 13.5 Texans Texans 1 Correct Tick 1.5
10/27/22 8 Thu Night Ravens Ravens 27 Buccaneers Buccaneers 22 -2.5 Ravens Ravens 2 Correct Tick 7.5
12/23/21 16 Thu Night 49ers 49ers 17 Titans Titans 20 3 49ers Titans 3 Wrong Cross -6
12/16/21 15 Thu Night Chiefs Chiefs 34 Chargers Chargers 28 3 Chiefs Chiefs 2 Correct Tick 3
12/09/21 14 Thu Night Steelers Steelers 28 Vikings Vikings 36 -3.5 Steelers Vikings 3 Wrong Cross -4.5
12/02/21 13 Thu Night Cowboys Cowboys 27 Saints Saints 17 6 Saints Cowboys 1 Wrong Cross -4
11/25/21 12 Thu Night Bills Bills 31 Saints Saints 6 7 Bills Bills 3 Correct Tick 18
11/18/21 11 Thu Night Patriots Patriots 25 Falcons Falcons 0 6.5 Falcons Patriots 2 Wrong Cross -18.5
11/11/21 10 Thu Night Ravens Ravens 10 Dolphins Dolphins 22 7.5 Ravens Dolphins 2 Wrong Cross -19.5
11/04/21 9 Thu Night Jets Jets 30 Colts Colts 45 -10.5 Jets Colts 2 Wrong Cross -4.5
10/28/21 8 Thu Night Packers Packers 24 Cardinals Cardinals 21 -6 Packers Packers 2 Correct Tick 9
10/21/21 7 Thu Night Broncos Broncos 14 Browns Browns 17 -2 Broncos Browns 2 Wrong Cross -1
10/14/21 6 Thu Night Buccaneers Buccaneers 28 Eagles Eagles 22 7.5 Buccaneers Eagles 2 Wrong Cross -1.5
10/07/21 5 Thu Night Rams Rams 26 Seahawks Seahawks 17 2.5 Rams Rams 1 Correct Tick 6.5
09/30/21 4 Thu Night Jaguars Jaguars 21 Bengals Bengals 24 -7.5 Jaguars Jaguars 1 Correct Tick 4.5
09/23/21 3 Thu Night Panthers Panthers 24 Texans Texans 9 7.5 Panthers Panthers 2 Correct Tick 7.5
09/16/21 2 Thu Night Giants Giants 29 Commanders Commanders 30 -3.5 Commanders Giants 1 Wrong Cross -2.5
09/09/21 1 Thu Night Cowboys Cowboys 29 Buccaneers Buccaneers 31 -8 Cowboys Cowboys 3 Correct Tick 6
09/10/20 1 Thu Night Texans Texans 20 Chiefs Chiefs 34 -10 Chiefs Chiefs 1 Correct Tick 4
09/05/19 1 Thu Night Packers Packers 10 Bears Bears 3 -3 Packers Packers 1 Correct Tick 10
09/14/17 2 Thu Night Texans Texans 13 Bengals Bengals 9 -5.5 Buccaneers Texans 1 Wrong Cross 9.5
09/07/17 1 Thu Night Chiefs Chiefs 42 Patriots Patriots 27 -9 Chiefs Chiefs 2 Correct Tick 24
11/03/16 9 Thu Night Falcons Falcons 43 Buccaneers Buccaneers 28 4.5 Falcons Falcons 2 Correct Tick 10.5
10/27/16 8 Thu Night Jaguars Jaguars 22 Titans Titans 36 -3.5 Jaguars Titans 2 Wrong Cross -10.5
10/20/16 7 Thu Night Bears Bears 10 Packers Packers 26 -9 Bears Packers 2 Wrong Cross -7
10/13/16 6 Thu Night Broncos Broncos 13 Chargers Chargers 21 3 Broncos Chargers 4 Wrong Cross -11
10/06/16 5 Thu Night Cardinals Cardinals 33 49ers 49ers 21 4 49ers Cardinals 1 Wrong Cross -8
09/29/16 4 Thu Night Dolphins Dolphins 7 Bengals Bengals 22 -7.5 Dolphins Bengals 1 Wrong Cross -7.5
09/22/16 3 Thu Night Texans Texans 0 Patriots Patriots 27 2.5 Texans Patriots 1 Wrong Cross -29.5
09/15/16 2 Thu Night Jets Jets 37 Bills Bills 31 Even Jets Jets 2 Correct Tick 6
09/08/16 1 Thu Night Panthers Panthers 20 Broncos Broncos 21 3 Panthers Broncos 1 Wrong Cross -4
12/24/15 16 Thu Night Chargers Chargers 20 Raiders Raiders 23 -4 Chargers Chargers 1 Correct Tick 1
12/17/15 15 Thu Night Buccaneers Buccaneers 23 Rams Rams 31 -1 Buccaneers Rams 1 Wrong Cross -7
12/10/15 14 Thu Night Vikings Vikings 20 Cardinals Cardinals 23 -8 Vikings Vikings 1 Correct Tick 5
12/03/15 13 Thu Night Packers Packers 27 Lions Lions 23 2.5 Lions Packers 2 Wrong Cross -1.5
11/26/15 12 Thu Night Bears Bears 17 Packers Packers 13 -8 Bears Bears 1 Correct Tick 12
11/19/15 11 Thu Night Titans Titans 13 Jaguars Jaguars 19 -3 Titans Jaguars 1 Wrong Cross -3
11/12/15 10 Thu Night Bills Bills 22 Jets Jets 17 -3 Bills Bills 1 Correct Tick 8
11/05/15 9 Thu Night Browns Browns 10 Bengals Bengals 31 -13 Browns Bengals 1 Wrong Cross -8
10/29/15 8 Thu Night Dolphins Dolphins 7 Patriots Patriots 36 -8 Patriots Patriots 1 Correct Tick 21
10/22/15 7 Thu Night Seahawks Seahawks 20 49ers 49ers 3 6.5 Seahawks Seahawks 1 Correct Tick 10.5
10/15/15 6 Thu Night Falcons Falcons 21 Saints Saints 31 3 Saints Saints 1 Correct Tick 13
10/08/15 5 Thu Night Colts Colts 27 Texans Texans 20 -5 Colts Colts 1 Correct Tick 12
10/01/15 4 Thu Night Ravens Ravens 23 Steelers Steelers 20 2.5 Ravens Ravens 1 Correct Tick 0.5
09/24/15 3 Thu Night Commanders Commanders 21 Giants Giants 32 -3 Giants Giants 1 Correct Tick 8
09/17/15 2 Thu Night Broncos Broncos 31 Chiefs Chiefs 24 -3 Chiefs Broncos 1 Wrong Cross -10
09/10/15 1 Thu Night Steelers Steelers 21 Patriots Patriots 28 -7 Patriots 1 Push Bullet 0
12/18/14 16 Thu Night Titans Titans 13 Jaguars Jaguars 21 -4.5 Titans Jaguars 2 Wrong Cross -3.5
12/11/14 15 Thu Night Cardinals Cardinals 12 Rams Rams 6 -6 Cardinals Cardinals 1 Correct Tick 12
12/04/14 14 Thu Night Cowboys Cowboys 41 Bears Bears 28 3.5 Cowboys Cowboys 3 Correct Tick 9.5
11/27/14 13 Thu Night Seahawks Seahawks 19 49ers 49ers 3 -1 Seahawks Seahawks 1 Correct Tick 17
11/20/14 12 Thu Night Chiefs Chiefs 20 Raiders Raiders 24 7.5 Chiefs Raiders 1 Wrong Cross -11.5
11/13/14 11 Thu Night Bills Bills 9 Dolphins Dolphins 22 -4 Bills Dolphins 3 Wrong Cross -9
11/06/14 10 Thu Night Browns Browns 24 Bengals Bengals 3 -6.5 Browns Browns 2 Correct Tick 27.5
10/30/14 9 Thu Night Saints Saints 28 Panthers Panthers 10 3 Saints Saints 2 Correct Tick 15
10/23/14 8 Thu Night Chargers Chargers 21 Broncos Broncos 35 -9 Chargers Broncos 3 Wrong Cross -5
10/16/14 7 Thu Night Jets Jets 25 Patriots Patriots 27 -9.5 Jets Jets 2 Correct Tick 7.5
10/09/14 6 Thu Night Colts Colts 33 Texans Texans 28 2.5 Texans Colts 1 Wrong Cross -2.5
10/02/14 5 Thu Night Vikings Vikings 10 Packers Packers 42 -9.5 Vikings Packers 1 Wrong Cross -22.5
09/25/14 4 Thu Night Giants Giants 45 Commanders Commanders 14 -3.5 Giants Giants 2 Correct Tick 34.5
09/18/14 3 Thu Night Buccaneers Buccaneers 14 Falcons Falcons 56 -6.5 Buccaneers Falcons 1 Wrong Cross -35.5
09/11/14 2 Thu Night Steelers Steelers 6 Ravens Ravens 26 -2.5 Steelers Ravens 1 Wrong Cross -17.5
09/04/14 1 Thu Night Packers Packers 16 Seahawks Seahawks 36 -5 Packers Seahawks 1 Wrong Cross -15
12/12/13 15 Thu Night Chargers Chargers 27 Broncos Broncos 20 -10 Chargers Chargers 2 Correct Tick 17
12/05/13 14 Thu Night Texans Texans 20 Jaguars Jaguars 27 3 Texans Jaguars 2 Wrong Cross -10
11/28/13 13 Thu Night Steelers Steelers 20 Ravens Ravens 22 -2.5 Steelers Steelers 2 Correct Tick 0.5
11/21/13 12 Thu Night Saints Saints 17 Falcons Falcons 13 7.5 Falcons Falcons 1 Correct Tick 3.5
11/14/13 11 Thu Night Colts Colts 30 Titans Titans 27 3 Colts 1 Push Bullet 0
11/07/13 10 Thu Night Commanders Commanders 27 Vikings Vikings 34 1.5 Commanders Vikings 2 Wrong Cross -8.5
10/31/13 9 Thu Night Bengals Bengals 20 Dolphins Dolphins 22 3 Bengals Dolphins 2 Wrong Cross -5
10/24/13 8 Thu Night Panthers Panthers 31 Buccaneers Buccaneers 13 7 Panthers Panthers 1 Correct Tick 11
10/17/13 7 Thu Night Seahawks Seahawks 34 Cardinals Cardinals 22 5.5 Cardinals Seahawks 1 Wrong Cross -6.5
10/10/13 6 Thu Night Giants Giants 21 Bears Bears 27 -8.5 Bears Giants 1 Wrong Cross -2.5
10/03/13 5 Thu Night Bills Bills 24 Browns Browns 37 -3.5 Bills Browns 2 Wrong Cross -9.5
09/26/13 4 Thu Night 49ers 49ers 35 Rams Rams 11 3 49ers 49ers 3 Correct Tick 21
09/19/13 3 Thu Night Chiefs Chiefs 26 Eagles Eagles 16 -3.5 Chiefs Chiefs 3 Correct Tick 13.5
09/12/13 2 Thu Night Jets Jets 10 Patriots Patriots 13 -11 Jets Jets 1 Correct Tick 8
09/05/13 1 Thu Night Ravens Ravens 27 Broncos Broncos 49 -7.5 Ravens Broncos 1 Wrong Cross -14.5
12/13/12 15 Thu Night Bengals Bengals 34 Eagles Eagles 13 5 Bengals Bengals 4 Correct Tick 16
12/06/12 14 Thu Night Broncos Broncos 26 Raiders Raiders 13 10 Broncos Broncos 3 Correct Tick 3
11/29/12 13 Thu Night Saints Saints 13 Falcons Falcons 23 -3.5 Saints Falcons 3 Wrong Cross -6.5
11/22/12 12 Thu Night Patriots Patriots 49 Jets Jets 19 7 Patriots Patriots 2 Correct Tick 23
11/15/12 11 Thu Night Dolphins Dolphins 14 Bills Bills 19 -2.5 Dolphins Bills 3 Wrong Cross -2.5
11/08/12 10 Thu Night Colts Colts 27 Jaguars Jaguars 10 3 Colts Colts 2 Correct Tick 14
11/01/12 9 Thu Night Chiefs Chiefs 13 Chargers Chargers 31 -7 Chiefs Chargers 3 Wrong Cross -11
10/25/12 8 Thu Night Buccaneers Buccaneers 36 Vikings Vikings 17 -5.5 Buccaneers Buccaneers 2 Correct Tick 24.5
10/18/12 7 Thu Night Seahawks Seahawks 6 49ers 49ers 13 -8 Seahawks Seahawks 2 Correct Tick 1
10/11/12 6 Thu Night Steelers Steelers 23 Titans Titans 26 6 Steelers Titans 4 Wrong Cross -9
10/04/12 5 Thu Night Cardinals Cardinals 3 Rams Rams 17 1.5 Cardinals Rams 1 Wrong Cross -15.5
09/27/12 4 Thu Night Browns Browns 16 Ravens Ravens 23 -11.5 Browns Browns 2 Correct Tick 4.5
09/20/12 3 Thu Night Giants Giants 36 Panthers Panthers 7 -2.5 Giants Giants 2 Correct Tick 31.5
09/13/12 2 Thu Night Bears Bears 10 Packers Packers 23 -5 Bears Packers 1 Wrong Cross -8
12/22/11 16 Thu Night Texans Texans 16 Colts Colts 19 7 Texans Colts 1 Wrong Cross -10
12/15/11 15 Thu Night Jaguars Jaguars 14 Falcons Falcons 41 -13.5 Falcons Falcons 1 Correct Tick 13.5
12/08/11 14 Thu Night Browns Browns 3 Steelers Steelers 14 -14 Browns Browns 1 Correct Tick 3
12/01/11 13 Thu Night Eagles Eagles 14 Seahawks Seahawks 31 3 Eagles Seahawks 1 Wrong Cross -20
11/24/11 12 Thu Night 49ers 49ers 6 Ravens Ravens 16 -3.5 Ravens Ravens 1 Correct Tick 6.5
11/17/11 11 Thu Night Jets Jets 13 Broncos Broncos 17 6.5 Jets Broncos 1 Wrong Cross -10.5
11/10/11 10 Thu Night Raiders Raiders 24 Chargers Chargers 17 -7 Raiders Raiders 1 Correct Tick 14
Top of Page