This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2014 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

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All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2014
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 1 .500 -3.5 1 .500 3.5
-7.5 to -9.5 6 0 3 .500 6.4 3 .500 -6.4
-6 to -7 7 0 4 .571 4.4 3 .429 -4.4
-4.5 to -5.5 2 0 2 1.000 9.3 0 .000 -9.3
-3 to -4 11 0 3 .273 -10 8 .727 10
0 to -2.5 8 0 5 .625 10.1 3 .375 -10.1
Even 1 0 0 .000 -13 1 1.000 13
3 to 4 11 0 4 .364 2.5 7 .636 -2.5
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 1.5 0 .000 -1.5
6 to 7 3 0 2 .667 1.3 1 .333 -1.3
7.5 to 9.5 2 0 1 .500 -4 1 .500 4
Overall 54 0 26 .481 1.2 28 .519 -1.2
Division  | Primetime | 2014
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-7.5 to -9.5 5 0 3 .600 8 2 .400 -8
-6 to -7 3 0 1 .333 -1.3 2 .667 1.3
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 3.5 0 .000 -3.5
-3 to -4 5 0 2 .400 -9.8 3 .600 9.8
0 to -2.5 5 0 4 .800 15.3 1 .200 -15.3
Even 1 0 0 .000 -13 1 1.000 13
3 to 4 3 0 0 .000 -9.3 3 1.000 9.3
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 1.5 0 .000 -1.5
6 to 7 1 0 1 1.000 4 0 .000 -4
7.5 to 9.5 2 0 1 .500 -4 1 .500 4
Overall 27 0 14 .519 0.9 13 .481 -0.9
Conference  | Primetime | 2014
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 1 .500 -3.5 1 .500 3.5
-7.5 to -9.5 1 0 0 .000 -1.5 1 1.000 1.5
-6 to -7 3 0 2 .667 5.5 1 .333 -5.5
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 1 1.000 15 0 .000 -15
-3 to -4 2 0 1 .500 -11 1 .500 11
0 to -2.5 1 0 1 1.000 19 0 .000 -19
3 to 4 7 0 4 .571 9.7 3 .429 -9.7
6 to 7 2 0 1 .500 0 1 .500 0
Overall 19 0 11 .579 4.6 8 .421 -4.6
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2014
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-6 to -7 1 0 1 1.000 18.5 0 .000 -18.5
-3 to -4 4 0 0 .000 -9.8 4 1.000 9.8
0 to -2.5 2 0 0 .000 -7.5 2 1.000 7.5
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -13 1 1.000 13
Overall 8 0 1 .125 -6.1 7 .875 6.1
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