This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2022 season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2026 Season 2025 Season 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2022
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 7 0 4 .571 3.8 3 .429 -3.8
-7.5 to -9.5 7 0 2 .286 -0.4 5 .714 0.4
-6 to -7 7 0 5 .714 1.4 2 .286 -1.4
-4.5 to -5.5 5 0 1 .200 -1.3 4 .800 1.3
-3 to -4 13 0 4 .308 -1.7 9 .692 1.7
0 to -2.5 10 0 4 .400 -2.1 6 .600 2.1
Even 1 0 0 .000 -16 1 1.000 16
0 to 2.5 5 0 3 .600 -0.7 2 .400 0.7
3 to 4 10 0 3 .300 -3.2 7 .700 3.2
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 2 0 .000 -2
6 to 7 2 0 2 1.000 7.3 0 .000 -7.3
7.5 to 9.5 3 0 1 .333 -6 2 .667 6
10+ 3 0 1 .333 -6.8 2 .667 6.8
Overall 74 0 31 .419 -1.2 43 .581 1.2
Division  | Primetime | 2022
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 1 .500 -7.3 1 .500 7.3
-7.5 to -9.5 3 0 2 .667 10.3 1 .333 -10.3
-6 to -7 3 0 1 .333 -2.5 2 .667 2.5
-4.5 to -5.5 4 0 1 .250 -1.3 3 .750 1.3
-3 to -4 7 0 2 .286 -2.1 5 .714 2.1
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 0.3 2 .667 -0.3
3 to 4 4 0 2 .500 5 2 .500 -5
4.5 to 5.5 1 0 1 1.000 2 0 .000 -2
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -8.5 1 1.000 8.5
10+ 1 0 0 .000 -18 1 1.000 18
Overall 29 0 11 .379 -0.5 18 .621 0.5
Conference  | Primetime | 2022
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 2 0 1 .500 6.5 1 .500 -6.5
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 0 .000 -2 2 1.000 2
-6 to -7 3 0 3 1.000 5.3 0 .000 -5.3
-4.5 to -5.5 1 0 0 .000 -1.5 1 1.000 1.5
-3 to -4 3 0 2 .667 5.3 1 .333 -5.3
0 to -2.5 4 0 2 .500 -2 2 .500 2
Even 1 0 0 .000 -16 1 1.000 16
0 to 2.5 2 0 2 1.000 9.3 0 .000 -9.3
3 to 4 5 0 1 .200 -6.7 4 .800 6.7
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 1 1.000 4.5 0 .000 -4.5
Overall 24 0 12 .500 0.2 12 .500 -0.2
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2022
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 3 0 2 .667 9.3 1 .333 -9.3
-7.5 to -9.5 2 0 0 .000 -14.8 2 1.000 14.8
-6 to -7 1 0 1 1.000 1.5 0 .000 -1.5
-3 to -4 3 0 0 .000 -7.8 3 1.000 7.8
0 to -2.5 3 0 1 .333 -4.7 2 .667 4.7
0 to 2.5 3 0 1 .333 -7.3 2 .667 7.3
3 to 4 1 0 0 .000 -18.5 1 1.000 18.5
6 to 7 2 0 2 1.000 7.3 0 .000 -7.3
7.5 to 9.5 1 0 0 .000 -14 1 1.000 14
10+ 2 0 1 .500 -1.3 1 .500 1.3
Overall 21 0 8 .381 -3.8 13 .619 3.8
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