This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2002-Present season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-Present 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018 2016-2017 2015-2016 2014-2015 2013-2014 2012-2013 2011-2012 2010-2011 2009-2010 2008-2009 2007-2008 2006-2007 2005-2006 2004-2005 2003-2004 2002-2003  2002-Present
All Games  Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night All Primetime
League  | Regular Season | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 610 13 293 .491 0.5 304 .509 -0.5
-7.5 to -9.5 503 1 244 .486 1 258 .514 -1
-6 to -7 713 20 344 .496 1 349 .504 -1
-4.5 to -5.5 390 3 169 .437 -1.1 218 .563 1.1
-3 to -4 1115 62 495 .472 -0.1 558 .528 0.1
0 to -2.5 653 4 334 .515 -0.3 315 .485 0.3
Even 66 0 26 .394 -2.2 40 .606 2.2
0 to 2.5 342 13 163 .496 0.8 166 .504 -0.8
3 to 4 976 39 457 .488 0 480 .512 0
4.5 to 5.5 201 0 89 .443 -1.4 112 .557 1.4
6 to 7 340 8 167 .503 -1.9 165 .497 1.9
7.5 to 9.5 172 1 96 .561 0.2 75 .439 -0.2
10+ 142 1 79 .560 1 62 .440 -1
Overall 6223 165 2,956 .488 0 3,102 .512 0
Division  | Regular Season | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 251 7 112 .460 -0.1 132 .540 0.1
-7.5 to -9.5 194 0 91 .469 0.4 103 .531 -0.4
-6 to -7 258 6 125 .496 0.8 127 .504 -0.8
-4.5 to -5.5 129 0 58 .450 -1 71 .550 1
-3 to -4 388 16 164 .443 -0.8 208 .557 0.8
0 to -2.5 219 3 103 .477 -0.2 113 .523 0.2
Even 23 0 9 .391 -3.1 14 .609 3.1
0 to 2.5 121 5 59 .508 0.9 57 .492 -0.9
3 to 4 379 13 181 .495 -0.3 185 .505 0.3
4.5 to 5.5 74 0 32 .432 -1 42 .568 1
6 to 7 139 3 62 .457 -2.6 74 .543 2.6
7.5 to 9.5 73 1 44 .610 0.3 28 .390 -0.3
10+ 56 0 26 .464 -1.3 30 .536 1.3
Overall 2304 54 1,066 .474 -0.3 1,184 .526 0.3
Conference  | Regular Season | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 205 4 98 .488 0.1 103 .512 -0.1
-7.5 to -9.5 182 0 89 .489 1.2 93 .511 -1.2
-6 to -7 268 9 133 .513 1.5 126 .487 -1.5
-4.5 to -5.5 158 2 65 .418 -2.1 91 .582 2.1
-3 to -4 424 19 204 .504 0.7 201 .496 -0.7
0 to -2.5 268 0 147 .549 -0.3 121 .451 0.3
Even 26 0 12 .462 0.5 14 .538 -0.5
0 to 2.5 131 5 63 .500 0.9 63 .500 -0.9
3 to 4 343 10 164 .493 1 169 .507 -1
4.5 to 5.5 76 0 33 .434 -1.5 43 .566 1.5
6 to 7 115 2 62 .548 -1 51 .452 1
7.5 to 9.5 58 0 33 .569 0.4 25 .431 -0.4
10+ 49 1 34 .704 5.3 14 .296 -5.3
Overall 2303 52 1,137 .505 0.5 1,114 .495 -0.5
Inter-Conference  | Regular Season | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 154 2 83 .545 2.1 69 .455 -2.1
-7.5 to -9.5 127 1 64 .508 1.7 62 .492 -1.7
-6 to -7 187 5 86 .473 0.8 96 .527 -0.8
-4.5 to -5.5 103 1 46 .451 0.3 56 .549 -0.3
-3 to -4 303 27 127 .464 -0.3 149 .536 0.3
0 to -2.5 166 1 84 .509 -0.7 81 .491 0.7
Even 17 0 5 .294 -4.9 12 .706 4.9
0 to 2.5 90 3 41 .472 0.6 46 .528 -0.6
3 to 4 254 16 112 .472 -0.7 126 .528 0.7
4.5 to 5.5 51 0 24 .471 -1.6 27 .529 1.6
6 to 7 86 3 43 .517 -1.9 40 .483 1.9
7.5 to 9.5 41 0 19 .463 -0.2 22 .537 0.2
10+ 37 0 19 .514 -1.2 18 .486 1.2
Overall 1616 59 753 .484 0 804 .516 0
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