This is the Point Spread trends page for the 2002-Present season. Every NFL game has a point spread, but not all spreads are created equal. Our data reveals the historical win rate for each spread, helping you find where the value lies. We analyzed thousands of NFL games to uncover the historical winning percentages for every point spread. Here you can see the breakdown of this data by division, conference and inter-conference.

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-Present 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018 2016-2017 2015-2016 2014-2015 2013-2014 2012-2013 2011-2012 2010-2011 2009-2010 2008-2009 2007-2008 2006-2007 2005-2006 2004-2005 2003-2004 2002-2003  2002-Present
All Games Regular Season Postseason Monday Night Sunday Night Thursday Night  All Primetime
League  | Primetime | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 100 2 47 .480 -0.5 51 .520 0.5
-7.5 to -9.5 93 0 47 .505 1.7 46 .495 -1.7
-6 to -7 144 4 78 .556 1.9 62 .444 -1.9
-4.5 to -5.5 85 1 36 .429 -0.7 48 .571 0.7
-3 to -4 242 9 121 .519 1.4 112 .481 -1.4
0 to -2.5 118 1 57 .487 -0.1 60 .513 0.1
Even 10 0 6 .600 1.3 4 .400 -1.3
0 to 2.5 61 1 29 .484 -2.1 31 .516 2.1
3 to 4 198 9 88 .467 -0.9 101 .533 0.9
4.5 to 5.5 33 0 13 .394 -2 20 .606 2
6 to 7 63 1 27 .437 -2.5 35 .563 2.5
7.5 to 9.5 35 0 21 .600 1.9 14 .400 -1.9
10+ 24 0 17 .708 4.3 7 .292 -4.3
Overall 1206 28 587 .498 0.2 591 .502 -0.2
Division  | Primetime | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 36 1 16 .458 -1.8 19 .542 1.8
-7.5 to -9.5 37 0 20 .541 3.3 17 .459 -3.3
-6 to -7 53 1 29 .557 2.1 23 .443 -2.1
-4.5 to -5.5 31 0 14 .452 -0.7 17 .548 0.7
-3 to -4 97 3 44 .469 0.9 50 .531 -0.9
0 to -2.5 43 1 22 .523 2 20 .477 -2
Even 5 0 2 .400 -0.4 3 .600 0.4
0 to 2.5 30 1 12 .417 -1 17 .583 1
3 to 4 83 3 36 .452 -1.7 44 .548 1.7
4.5 to 5.5 16 0 6 .375 -2.1 10 .625 2.1
6 to 7 27 0 9 .333 -4.2 18 .667 4.2
7.5 to 9.5 12 0 7 .583 -2.2 5 .417 2.2
10+ 11 0 6 .545 0.7 5 .455 -0.7
Overall 481 10 223 .474 0 248 .526 0
Conference  | Primetime | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 40 1 19 .488 -0.5 20 .513 0.5
-7.5 to -9.5 42 0 20 .476 0.6 22 .524 -0.6
-6 to -7 63 2 32 .524 1.4 29 .476 -1.4
-4.5 to -5.5 36 1 15 .431 -1.3 20 .569 1.3
-3 to -4 101 4 53 .545 1.6 44 .455 -1.6
0 to -2.5 49 0 27 .551 -0.4 22 .449 0.4
Even 3 0 2 .667 3 1 .333 -3
0 to 2.5 18 0 13 .722 1.6 5 .278 -1.6
3 to 4 81 1 45 .562 1.8 35 .438 -1.8
4.5 to 5.5 11 0 5 .455 -4.8 6 .545 4.8
6 to 7 22 0 12 .545 -0.2 10 .455 0.2
7.5 to 9.5 16 0 11 .688 3.6 5 .313 -3.6
10+ 8 0 8 1.000 10.4 0 .000 -10.4
Overall 490 9 262 .544 0.9 219 .456 -0.9
Inter-Conference  | Primetime | 2002-Present
H Line Games Push H Wins H Win Pct H Margin V Wins V Win Pct V Margin
-10+ 24 0 12 .500 1.6 12 .500 -1.6
-7.5 to -9.5 14 0 7 .500 1.1 7 .500 -1.1
-6 to -7 28 1 17 .625 2.4 10 .375 -2.4
-4.5 to -5.5 18 0 7 .389 0.7 11 .611 -0.7
-3 to -4 44 2 24 .568 1.9 18 .432 -1.9
0 to -2.5 26 0 8 .308 -3.3 18 .692 3.3
Even 2 0 2 1.000 3 0 .000 -3
0 to 2.5 13 0 4 .308 -9.8 9 .692 9.8
3 to 4 34 5 7 .279 -5.3 22 .721 5.3
4.5 to 5.5 6 0 2 .333 3.1 4 .667 -3.1
6 to 7 14 1 6 .464 -2.6 7 .536 2.6
7.5 to 9.5 7 0 3 .429 5.2 4 .571 -5.2
10+ 5 0 3 .600 2.5 2 .400 -2.5
Overall 235 9 102 .453 -0.6 124 .547 0.6
Top of Page